Serendipity35 - Trends

UnCollege

nospam@example.com (Ken Ronkowitz) — Mon, 13 May 2013 09:09:00 -0400

UnCollege challenges the the notion that going to college is the only path to success.

About 70% of high school graduates go on to college, even though studies seem to show that a college degree no longer guarantees success.

College lacks academic rigor.

22% of college grads under 25 are working jobs that do not require a degree

A college degree = success?

Creativity is the No. 1 “leadership competency.”

70% of learning comes from real-world experiences.

Self-directed learners outperform traditional students (86th percentile to 50th).

So, UnCollege www.uncollege.org states its mission as being "To change the notion that university is the only path to success and to help people to thrive in an ever changing world in which it is virtually impossible for educational institutions to adapt."

Some of their core belief are ones that intentionally disrupt how we have thought about post-secondary education and success.

Many people pay too much for university and learn too little.

You can get an amazing education anywhere—but you’ll have to stop writing papers and start doing things.

You need an excellent education to survive in a world where 50% of the population is under 30.

Subjects taught in traditional universities are often contrived,
theoretical, and irrelevant, promoting conformity and regurgitation
rather than innovation and learning.

You don’t have to decide what to do with your life at age 18.

You can contribute to society without necessarily having a university degree.

You cannot rely on university to give you a complete and relevant
education when professors are often more interested in researching than
teaching.

If you want to gain the skills requisite for success, you must hack your education.

Some of their efforts include a Gap Year Program and Hackademic Camps.

The New Community College

nospam@example.com (Ken Ronkowitz) — Thu, 02 May 2013 15:43:12 -0400

The New Community College (NCC) at CUNY is a new open admissions college. Open admissions is nothing new for a community college. The planning for this new college started in 2007 when City University of New York (CUNY) Chancellor Matthew Goldstein decided to refocus attention on the diverse, low-income, first-generation students that are attracted to open access community colleges. One thing that was done was to launch the Accelerated Studies in Associate Programs.

But we he hear a lot today about the “completion agenda” to improve academic success, persistence, and graduation rates. The New Community College at CUNY is focused on trying to change the agenda that currently exists. It opened in summer 2012 with 300 students. Their mission is to rethink community college education in general and that completion agenda is certainly part of that.

NCC reports that the fall-to-spring persistence rate of their first cohort is 92 percent which is well ahead of most community colleges.

They accept applicants who have a high school diploma or GED, including undocumented immigrants. Currently, they do not consider applicants who require an F-1 or J-1 visa to study in the United States, or are only interested in taking courses on a part-time basis or a non-degree status, or are are transfer students.

Their Summer Bridge Program starts students and the "instructional team" in a learning community that continues through the fall semester. NCC uses field experiences along with classroom learning. Students have a city-centered first-year experience before they begin their major coursework.

They seem to be more tied into the city's professional community than most community colleges. Students value real-world experience and opportunities to apply classwork to outside. NCC looks to prepare students for continuing on to a 4 year college or jobs.

Their initial associate degree programs are inBusiness Administration, Health Information Technology, Human Services, Information Technology, Liberal Arts and Sciences and Urban Studies.

I'll be interested to see how things progress. Despite the "new" in their name, much of what I can find about the school (peer mentors. advisement etc.) has been tried before. What will they be doing differently?

They expect enrollment to increase to 5,000 students when the college moves to its permanent home.

How To Stop the Internet

nospam@example.com (Ken Ronkowitz) — Mon, 29 Apr 2013 00:29:00 -0400

I did a post back in 2009 using Jonathan Zittrain's 2008 book title, The Future of the Internet--And How to Stop It, as the post's title. It got a good number of hits and comments and is the top post on this blog for attracting spam. It's a provocative title.

I realize that today's post's title might also be provocative. It might even be misinterpreted as being a piece of cyber-terrorism which is certainly in the news a lot today.

Zittrain teaches cyber law at Harvard and before I checked out his book from the college library back then, I had heard a short podcast with him. His talk about zombie computers and the threats from iPods, iPhones, Xboxes, and TiVos were not about how the Net threatens us, but how the Net is threatened by us in the form of companies.

Tethered appliances are something he sees as a threat because they are closed to our amateur play. You can't modify them and that is very much intentional. My father was a real car person. He never left the family car alone. He died more than 40 years ago but I know he would be really pissed off about today's cars that don't allow him to work on them. He taught me to test the tubes in our TV set and how to replace them. We all know that most people don't even attempt to have their TV set repaired by someone if it has problems. Just replace it.

Some people view this as a blow to the kind of innovation that actually enabled those things to be created in the first place.

Another fear in this story is that the manufacturers are getting a deeper hold into our lives. Google monitors your search activities and so does Facebook, Amazon and just about every website. They do it to make money. Scary?

This blog records where visitors come from geographically and what they view. I do it to have a sense of my readers. That sounds pretty innocent. But your TiVo reports back to headquarters about what you are watching. Is that a bit scarier? In North Korea, Zittrain reports, radios are manufactured so that they can't be tuned to non-official sources.

Where is this trend headed? Zittrain sees us on a path to a locked Internet that doesn't allow us to do very much. That sounds like the reversal of the trend we called Web 2.0 and the Read/Write Web that encouraged participation, creativity and innovation.

The optimism in this otherwise gloomy story is that people (probably not companies) will hopefully continue to develop new technologies that do allow users to work creatively and continue to innovate. As Zittrain has said, there is hope in that "generative technologies" like personal computers still "allow us to produce unprompted, user-driven change. You can write code, run that code on a variety of platforms, and share that code with anyone who might want it. Generative technologies are still useful for performing tasks, adaptable, easy to master, permission-free, and share-able."

But the trend still seems to be that consumers are moving away from generative technologies like the PC and towards tethered ones like the smartphone. Is that a choice we are making on our own, or is it something we are being pushed towards?

Trying to stop the Internet may be the aim of some cyber-terrorists, but trying to stop innovation on the Internet just may be the intent of some very well known companies.

Happily, Zittrain's book is not locked down. You can download The Future of the Internet (pdf) under a Creative Commons license.

The Gamification of Your Course Content

nospam@example.com (Ken Ronkowitz) — Tue, 23 Apr 2013 11:30:00 -0400

I'm not much of a "gaming" person. Never got into video or computer games. I didn't want my kids playing Nintendo and such for hours and hours. And I don't even like the term "gamification" which is a term I am hearing a lot lately on education sites and at conferences.

I realize that gamification is not synonymous with gaming. So, to "gamify'" a course means to use the mechanics and techniques that make gaming so engaging. Engagement. Another big buzzy word in education these days. If you can use these mechanics to create engagement and incentivize certain activities in a course, well...

I don't imagine many students who will sit at a screen and work on their organic chemistry coursework for 4 hours because it is game-like, or that we should view that as a goal. But gamification addresses some needs that students today say they want addressed.

One that is always mentioned is immediate feedback and validation. That sends me back to my own Intro to Psych class and behaviorism, B.F. Skinner, Operant Conditioning and things like Random Interrupted Reinforcement.

Point, scores, status and rewards are some of the elements used to motivate actions in a gamified course. These mechanics are structured to achieve engagement. You may not feel comfortable about even viewing content consumption, comments and time spent on tasks as "engagement." But whether you call this engagement mechanics, focus mechanics, or gamification, you should be interested in the intended result - more time spent in the course material.

Being that I am currently teaching an online course with about 700 students, I had thought about using gaming techniques in designing that class. I decided not to design in that way because I anticipated that the audience was going to be older professionals in academia rather than traditionally-aged students. (That turned out to be true.)

I did find a course on Gamification offered by Coursera taught by Kevin Werbach (UPenn). I would have taken the class, but I knew I wouldn't have the time to devote to it. (I actually had two colleagues who told me to take it anyway, just to see what he's doing because "it's only a MOOC" - THAT is a whole other issue).

His course description is:

Gamification is the application of digital game design techniques to non-game problems, such as business and social impact challenges. Video games are the dominant entertainment form of our time because they are powerful tools for motivating behavior. Effective games leverage both psychology and technology, in ways that can be applied outside the immersive environments of games themselves. Gamification as a business practice has exploded over the past two years. Organizations are applying it in areas such as marketing, human resources, productivity enhancement, sustainability, training, health and wellness, innovation, and customer engagement. Game thinking means more than just dropping in badges and leaderboards; it requires a thoughtful understanding of motivation and design techniques. This course examines the mechanisms of gamification and provides an understanding of its effective use.

You may not be interested in gamifying your courses, but vendors who provide course content - especially online content - are interested and are including it now. Gamification was one of the 6 technologies in the most recent Horizon Report.

click image to enlarge
Image Source: http://s.knewton.com

The Death Of Content

nospam@example.com (Ken Ronkowitz) — Fri, 12 Apr 2013 17:33:08 -0400

Interesting quick note from the Emerging Learning Design 2012 Conference on their upcoming keynote presentation by Dr. Christopher Hoadley. His talk will be "The Death Of Content: Why Universities and Schools are (and aren’t) being replaced by the Internet.

The topic of his presentation is one that I have also been presenting on for several years, and that I feel strongly is a topic educators need to be serious about considering.

He describes the argument of his talk as:

"The current coin of the realm in academia –content– is dying and that universities need to radically rethink their role in the world. MOOCs, homeschooling, and the shadow education system all are evidence that the 20th century role of schools is decreasingly relevant. But does this mean that schools will become obsolete? I argue that schools face a choice: use technology to enhance their current functions but hasten their demise, or use technology to transform themselves and capitalize on 17th century strengths to be a cornerstone of the 21st century knowledge economy. I offer some ideas on how to reconceptualize the notion of ‘schools’ based on the latest research in learning and on ancient ideas about how to teach."

Dr. Christopher Hoadley is associate professor in the Educational Communication and Technology Program and the Program in Digital Media Design for Learning at NYU Steinhardt.

The Cult of Measurement

nospam@example.com (Ken Ronkowitz) — Fri, 22 Mar 2013 07:52:00 -0400

An interesting post by Anthony Cody (who is a 24-year K12 veteran teacher) addresses some views on "Bill Gates and the Cult of Measurement: Efficiency Without Excellence." As he points out, since the passage of No Child Left Behind in 2001, much of what we call "school reform" has been tied to measurement, testing and numerical goals. Mathematician Cathy O'Neil has offered an interesting critique of the Gates method of solutions via measurement. She writes:

...the person who defines the model defines success, and by obscuring this power behind a data collection process and incrementally improved model results, it seems somehow sanitized and objective when it's not.

Don't be fooled by the mathematical imprimatur: behind every model and every data set is a political process that chose that data and built that model and defined success for that model.

There is an old saying, "when your only tool is a hammer, everything looks like a nail." In our schools, standardized tests are our hammers, and as Cathy O'Neil points out, the standards and the tests that measure what has been learned have lots of questionable assumptions built in.

In his letter, Bill Gates draws an appealing portrait of how teaching is being improved at Eagle Valley High School in Vail, Colorado. Reflecting the findings of the Gates Foundation's Measures of Effective Teaching project, he points out that they focus on "several measures that schools should use to assess teacher performance, including test data, student surveys and assessments by trained evaluators."

Unfortunately, a closer look at their research shows that the way these various models are validated is by the degree to which they align with test scores. This is circular, as Bruce Baker explains in some detail...

The Horizon K12 Project, So Far

nospam@example.com (Ken Ronkowitz) — Thu, 21 Mar 2013 07:33:00 -0400

The NMC has posted interim results from their 2013 Horizon K12 Project on emerging technologies as well as the top ten trends and challenges that they believe will have a significant impact on teaching, learning, and creative inquiry in global K-12 education over the next five years. If anyone who works in higher education thinks that what is happeneing in K12 doesn't affect them, they are very mistaken.

Near-Term Horizon: One Year or Less for adoption by schools
BYOD (Bring Your Own Device)
Cloud Computing
Mobile Learning
Online Learning

Mid-Term Horizon: Two to Three Years
Adaptive Learning and Personal Learning Networks
Electronic Publishing
Learning Analytics
Open Content

Long-Term Horizon: Four to Five Years
3D Printing
Augmented Reality
Virtual and Remote Laboratories
Wearable Technology

Top 10 Trends (alphabetical order)

The abundance of resources and relationships made easily accessible via the Internet is increasingly challenging us to revisit our roles as educators.
As the cost of technology drops and school districts revise and open up their access policies, it is becoming increasingly common for students to bring their own mobile devices.
Customized learning is increasingly a goal for schools.
Education paradigms are shifting to include online learning, hybrid learning, and collaborative models.
The focus of assessments are shifting from "what you know (can memorize)" to "what you can do (portfolio)."
Openness — concepts like open content, open data, and open resources, along with notions of transparency and easy access to data and information — is becoming a value.
People expect to be able to work, learn, and study whenever and wherever they want.
Schools are beginning to move away from textbooks to web resources and open source books.
Social media is changing the way people interact, present ideas and information, and communicate.
There is a new emphasis in the classroom on more challenge based, active learning.

Top 10 Challenges (alphabetical order)

The demand for personalized learning is not adequately supported by current technology or practices.
Divides persist.
Faculty training still does not acknowledge the fact that digital media literacy continues its rise in importance as a key skill in every discipline and profession.
Innovating pedagogy is a complex process that requires research into impacts, responsive state of mind to technology changes, and understanding what pedagogical strategies can make innovation in pedagogy possible.
K-12 must address the increased blending of formal and informal learning.
Ongoing professional development needs to be valued and integrated into the culture of the schools.
Many activities related to learning and education take place outside the walls of the classroom and thus are not part of traditional learning metrics.
New models of education are bringing unprecedented competition to the traditional models of education.
Too often it is education’s own processes and practices that limit broader uptake of new technologies.
We are not using digital media for formative assessment the way we could and should.

University 2033

nospam@example.com (Ken Ronkowitz) — Wed, 20 Mar 2013 08:41:00 -0400

I have been musing online for a few years about what will become of schools - both colleges and K12 - in the next decade. It's a question that people both inside and outside of my educational world ask me sometimes.

Dave Cormier was recently asked "Where do you see online education in 20 years? and he says he felt "sideswiped" by this question. Everyone in education thinks about the future of education. What made Cormier hesitate is that he's work on a book about MOOCs and adding them to the mix changes his thoughts on the future of online education.

His post gives some answers, but here is a short look at four answers he is considering.

In one case, he considers the possibility that the "MOOC kills higher education." It won't allay the fears of some in academia that he believes MOOCs (and he is one of the earliest proponents of them) as "most potentially damaging to higher education." He wonders what it will mean when 1 or 100 million students are taking first year physics online with a provider like MIT, especially if that course is connected to an affiliated testing center and has some credit associated with it.

I don't think educators will find much solace in his ideas about an "analytics university" either. That's a school (and I don't think I would limit it to higher education) where we have essays being graded by computers and analytics that predict whether students are likely to pass a course and notifications to the student, teachers, administrators and maybe even parents. Of course, versions of those analytics are already here and being used, so the future is really that this trend increases and becomes the norm.

Some for-profits will probably like his thoughts about the "corporate takeover" of education. My first thought is towards the entrance of for-profit organizations and publishers INTO traditional educational institutions. That is happening now. But Cormier is thinking about large, global corporations offering their own credentialing. He imagines a company like IBM recruiting students (high school aged or even younger) and starting their training before college is even considered.

I think about both of my sons, now only a few years from their college graduations, who were both told by their employers that they shouldn't forget what they learned in college, but that they should focus on their new corporate training. Cormier asks, "Why have them learn to do things an entirely ‘wrong’ way just to have to retrain them again when they start at your company?"

His fourth scenario is the most optimistic. It's the potential we have been talking about since the dawn of the Internet about a "community university" and how an Internet generation with this incredible access to information and the world community might be educated. I'd like to see that one be the education of 2023 or 2033 - but I think the first three scenarios are more likely.

Improve Graduation Rate But At What Cost?

nospam@example.com (Ken Ronkowitz) — Fri, 01 Mar 2013 07:39:00 -0500

Klamath Community College (Oregon) is a recent example of a college that decided to go with research that points to several ways to improve their graduation rate.

Why wouldn't every college want to do the same kinds of things? Because some of those methods can hurt enrollment.

KCC introduced several new requirements. These are not extreme measures like requiring competitive SAT or ACT scores or toughening their own entrance testing. They added mandatory orientation for students, mandatory advising and the elimination of late registration for courses.

And the result? Klamath saw its enrollment decline roughly 20 percent last fall, when compared to the previous year. That also means less money ($800,000 or 7% less) from Oregon since the state uses a enrollment-driven funding formula.

Was it worth it? It's probably too early to say for sure, but so far their fall-to-winter retention rates have moved from 60% percent for first-year students to 80% this year. That could increase their current graduation rate of 17%.

Source: www.insidehighered.com/news/2013/02/20/community-college-learns-boosting-retention-comes-cost

Predictions for Ebooks and Digital Publishing

nospam@example.com (Ken Ronkowitz) — Mon, 18 Feb 2013 07:53:00 -0500

The Ebook and digital publishing business is still changing. Last year, Apple made some moves and Amazon and other retailers gained control over ebook pricing at three major publishers. In higher education, Ebooks are pretty well accepted, although the majority of professors and students still use traditional books.

In the article Ten Bold Predictions for Ebooks and Digital Publishing in 2013 the predictions are indeed bold. Some are positive for publishers; some are positive for students. Which means that there are negatives on both sides too.

For example, it predicts "The $0 Kindle" or the emergence of a free e-reader, specifically a free Kindle. Why would Amazon do such a thing? Partially, it means more customers for its content, but it also means keeping the e-ink e-reader device manufacturers in business.

On the other side, they predict that Ebook market-share growth will actually slow down.

And by the end of 2013, they predict that 65% of U.S. children will have access to an e-reading device.

Read more at http://www.digitalbookworld.com/2012/ten-bold-predictions-for-ebooks-and-digital-publishing-in-2013/

6 Technologies on the Horizon

nospam@example.com (Ken Ronkowitz) — Wed, 06 Feb 2013 08:19:00 -0500

The annual NMC Horizon Report, released by the New Media Consortium and the Educause Learning Initiative, focuses on the key technology areas that researchers have identified as applicable to teaching and learning and are likely to have a major impact on educational institutions within the next five years.

They break things down into near term, mid-term, and longer term trends. In the near term, are massively open online courses (MOOCs) and tablet computing. In the report they say that MOOC "was hardly a thought bubble" during discussions for last year's report.

Slightly further out, the NMC Horizon report identified learning analytics and "games and gamification" as technologies whose impacts will be felt in the mid-term - two to three years.

On the more distant horizon, they identified 3D printing and wearable technologies as important developments whose significance will be felt in three to five years.

Read/download: NMC Horizon Report: 2013 Higher Education Edition

Article: http://campustechnology.com/Articles/2013/02/04/6-Technologies-That-Will-Impact-Higher-Ed.aspx

The Age of Context

nospam@example.com (Ken Ronkowitz) — Thu, 31 Jan 2013 00:15:00 -0500

The future needs to be contextual. Wait. Hasn't it always been necessary to be contextual? You are not going to get through a day successfully without examining the set of circumstances or facts that surround events and situations. So, why a new age of context?

Add to the discussion some other terms like "predictive technology" and "anticipatory software" and the new age might make more sense. Predictive technology uses learning algorithms and observed data to build behavioral models. It's not that we haven't already built human behavioral models. One problem with those models is that it usually requires information from the user, and that part of the data gathering process often yields inaccuracies. For example, you don't always tell the truth on those surveys.

One example of anticipatory software is Google Now. It is a kind of search where you don't search. Google Now looks at your digital life contextually. Some people get suspicious of Google looking in your email for keywords and at your calendar appointments for mentions of things like travel to other cities. But, by doing so, it builds "cards" that might be able to tell you the weather in that place you're going to this morning and that the flight is on time. That's useful, right?

I'm sure that some people will find this wonderfully amazing. And some will find it frightening in a privacy sense.

A quick search on Wikipedia also turns up contextual advertising (advertisements based on other content displayed, which Google, Facebook and others already use), contextual design (user-centered design), contextual inquiry (a related user-centered design method) and contextual learning (learning outside the classroom).

In this form of search, it is your behavior that creates predictive/anticipatory searches. I am sure that more of this type of data mining will occur, especially if it drives advertising revenue. I'm sure that Google is not alone in using this and expanding on these models

I saw a post last week that mentioned Robert Scoble calling this "the age of context." (He is writing a book on it along with Shel Israel.) I'm not sure we are entering an age of context quite yet. There are more and more context-based services and products, but contextualization is not mainstream yet.

If all this data probing frightens you from a privacy point of view, then maybe you need to consider the perspective of people like Jeff Jarvis. His book, Public Parts, has a subtitle that tells you his point of view: "How Sharing in the Digital Age Improves the Way We Work and Live." Jarvis contends that "publicness" isn't really new and takes us back to earlier ages when innovations such as the camera and the printing press also created privacy fears. He is writing about the new industry that is based on sharing. Facebook, Twitter, Google (which he wrote about extensively in an earlier book
) and all the photo and status sharing applications certainly exploit our willingness to share.

Whether or not this publicness will ultimately lead to creative collaboration and change the way we think is yet to be determined. It is changing how we manufacture, market, buy and sell. That benefits some, but it would be more significant it it improved how we organize, govern, teach and learn.

Even observers like Jarvis recognize that understanding the limits of privacy is necessary to protecting it. If anticipatory and predictive technologies are going to be successful, then it will that users trust the system.

Will the day come when our devices will know us better than our friends? That is scary in a sci-fi kind of way. And like a lot of sci-fi, it just may come true.